But every year there are serious upsets - and the art of bracket-picking involves correctly choosing when those upsets might occur.
Of course, President Obama went to Harvard. but they suck at basketball and didn't make the NCAA tourney. Other upsets on his bracket include No. 12 New Mexico State besting No. 5 Clemson in the Midwest and Syracuse - provided it moves past Arizona State in a Wednesday night First Four game - defeating TCU, the Midwest's No. 6 seed.
He also has Texas (10) over Nevada (7).
Much to the chagrin of Virginia fans, Obama's pick is the closest to being correct.
Obama picked 10 correct Sweet 16 teams previous year, but was 1-for-4 in the Final Four.
Last year, President Donald Trump did not fill out a bracket.
Obama picked UConn to win previous year as well, but the Huskies were upset by Mississippi State. There has been no indication he will this year, either, though a recent poll shows 38 percent of Americans would like him to do so.